Search found 3 matches

by FarAway Sooner
Tue Mar 01, 2016 5:05 pm
Forum: Technical Support
Topic: Wonky Math on Overrun
Replies: 4
Views: 30838

Re: Wonky Math on Overrun

That math is helpful, thanks! In every case below where I was looking at Overrun %s 80%, my Retreat % was either 90% or 100%. So, while there's a big difference in the way the Overrun % plays out in less probable overrun scenarios (and I thank you greatly for that tidbit!), it doesn't change the mat...
by FarAway Sooner
Mon Feb 29, 2016 6:05 pm
Forum: Technical Support
Topic: Wonky Math on Overrun
Replies: 4
Views: 30838

Re: Wonky Math on Overrun

That's what I thought before I started doing my tick sheet, which was about 3 scenarios in. Anybody who bothers to run the probability math here will know a guy doesn't get that UNLUCKY! :) I strongly suspect there's different logic being used in the "predict your outcome" screen than in t...
by FarAway Sooner
Sun Feb 28, 2016 5:55 pm
Forum: Technical Support
Topic: Wonky Math on Overrun
Replies: 4
Views: 30838

Wonky Math on Overrun

I'm not sure if the error is on the "Overrun %" prediction or in the actual combat resolution mechanics, but after noticing how underwhelming my "> 80%" Overrun results were, I kept track of outcomes through an entire German Campaign in Black Turn. When my "Overrun %" p...